Botev Vratsa 2-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 23%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.05
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
2-0
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa got the better of Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 52% of the ball to Etar Veliko Tarnovo's 48%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

Botev Vratsa 2-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 44%, draw 28%, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ BTTS No
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