Vancouver FC 2-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.97
2-3
44%
1.77
4-5
19%
3.94
6+
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.04/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
15.0 Crosses 9.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
12.08.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
08.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
29.04.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
2-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.91 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC beat HFX Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Vancouver FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 45% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 55%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.91 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.50 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Vancouver FC 2-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 36%, draw 29%, HFX Wanderers 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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