USM Khenchela 1-2 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.24/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.06
-10% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-1D-2L
AWAY CS Constantine
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
10.02.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
26.08.2022 CS Constantine CS Constantine 3-1 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Constantine nicked a narrow win over USM Khenchela 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was USM Khenchela at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CS Constantine led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Khenchela and 2.00 for CS Constantine.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine?

USM Khenchela 1-2 CS Constantine in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 47%, draw 29%, CS Constantine 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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