Nice 3-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Apr 2024

Nice
3-0 HT 1-0
Lorient
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Nice vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
16%
3.64
X/2
8%
11.1
X/X
11%
5.34
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
14%
9.09
2/X
9%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.74
-38% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.9 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nice vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
515 Passes 360
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
19.03.2023 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
30.10.2022 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
17.04.2022 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
22.09.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
14.03.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 3-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
3-0
AWAY Lorient
2.57 xG 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
463 Passes 453
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nice vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice cruised past Lorient 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nice had 51% of the ball to Lorient's 49%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.57 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nice and 1.00 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Nice vs Lorient?

Nice 3-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nice 46%, draw 26%, Lorient 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →