Crewe Alexandra U21 1-3 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.35
No
49%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
70%
-18.8pp
49%
BTTS No
30%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.51/3.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-9% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 saw off Crewe Alexandra U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Crewe Alexandra U21 1-3 Cardiff City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra U21 31%, draw 21%, Cardiff City U21 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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