Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Apr 2024

Patriotas Boyaca
2-3 HT 2-0
Independiente Medellin
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Patriotas Boyaca vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Patriotas Boyaca v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.03/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.27
-32% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.9 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Patriotas Boyaca vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.07.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
28.01.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
07.11.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
23.01.2021 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
08.02.2020 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
15.07.2019 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL

Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
2-3
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.52 xG 1.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
209 Passes 426
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin squeezed past Patriotas Boyaca 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Independiente Medellin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 36% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 64%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.52 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.67 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Independiente Medellin?

Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 34%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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