Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-0 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2-0 HT 0-0
Al Mokawloon
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 46%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.75/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.89
-5% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
15.6 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.44 xG 1.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
328 Passes 186
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-0 Al Mokawloon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2-0
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.36 xG 0.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
299 Passes 224
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla saw off Al Mokawloon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 55% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-0 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 29%, draw 28%, Al Mokawloon 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →