Heartland 1-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 19 Apr 2024

Heartland
1-0 HT 1-0
Shooting Stars
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Heartland vs Shooting Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Shooting Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.17/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.00
-12% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Heartland vs Shooting Stars Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shooting Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
02.02.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 4-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland nicked a narrow win over Shooting Stars 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Heartland made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Heartland and 2.00 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Shooting Stars?

Heartland 1-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heartland 40%, draw 30%, Shooting Stars 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heartland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heartland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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