Skeid 1-0 Kjelsas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.66
No
63%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 33% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
56%
-19.1pp
63%
BTTS No
44%
+19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 39%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.16
-40% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skeid
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Kjelsas
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2022 Kjelsas Kjelsas 3-3 HT 2-1 Skeid Skeid NOK
30.10.2021 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-2 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOR3
30.06.2021 Skeid Skeid 4-0 HT 2-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
03.10.2020 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-3 HT 1-3 Skeid Skeid NOR3
22.05.2019 Kjelsas Kjelsas 3-3 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skeid
1-0
AWAY Kjelsas
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skeid vs Kjelsas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skeid nicked a narrow win over Kjelsas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Skeid as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Skeid had 52% of the ball to Kjelsas's 48%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Skeid had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Skeid and 2.00 for Kjelsas.

What was the final score of Skeid vs Kjelsas?

Skeid 1-0 Kjelsas in the Norway - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid vs Kjelsas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skeid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Skeid 42%, draw 28%, Kjelsas 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skeid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skeid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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