Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Apr 2024

Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
19%
3.64
X/2
7%
11.6
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
9%
9.48
2/X
8%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.99/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.39
+8% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.3 Crosses 13.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
338 Passes 264
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
18.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
07.08.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
20.02.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
15.12.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
20.03.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
0-1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
2.00 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
366 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze squeezed past Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 50% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 50%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rakow Czestochowa.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.00 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 54%, draw 24%, Gornik Zabrze 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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