Thai Port FC 1-2 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

Thai Port FC
1-2 HT 0-0
Chiangrai United
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thai Port FC v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.68/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.92
-10% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
23.1 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.50 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.04.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-3 HT 2-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
30.10.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
09.03.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
14.11.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-4 HT 0-2 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY

Thai Port FC 1-2 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
1-2
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.28 xG 1.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
400 Passes 277
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United nicked a narrow win over Thai Port FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Thai Port FC carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 58% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 42%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.28 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Thai Port FC and 0.75 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United?

Thai Port FC 1-2 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 65%, draw 18%, Chiangrai United 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Thai Port FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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