Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estudiantes De Merida v Rayo Zuliano — Team-Based Signals
Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
1-2
HT 0-1
Rayo Zuliano
VEN
Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Rayo Zuliano — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Rayo Zuliano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 59% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Estudiantes De Merida's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 2.00 for Rayo Zuliano.
What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano?
Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 45%, draw 28%, Rayo Zuliano 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.