Beijing Guoan 6-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.45
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
29%
2.41
6+ Goals
12%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.97
1/2
5%
20.9
1/X
4%
11.9
X/1
13%
7.14
X/2
14%
6.0
X/X
13%
6.3
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
25%
3.03
2/X
6%
11.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.8pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.06/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.39
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
12.7 Crosses 20.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 2-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
09.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
31.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
30.07.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
29.04.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
09.10.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-3 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
6-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
3.46 xG 1.67
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
578 Passes 168
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan cruised past Shandong Taishan 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shandong Taishan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 73% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 27%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.46 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.17 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan?

Beijing Guoan 6-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 34%, draw 22%, Shandong Taishan 43%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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