Al Ahli 1-0 Al Jazeera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.75
Over Pick
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazeera EU Bookmakers 55%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.04/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.03
+18% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Jazeera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Al Jazeera Al Jazeera 2-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
19.12.2020 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Jazeera Al Jazeera ÜRD
12.09.2020 Al Jazeera Al Jazeera 1-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Jazeera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli nicked a narrow win over Al Jazeera 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazeera at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Jazeera led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli and 1.67 for Al Jazeera.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Jazeera?

Al Ahli 1-0 Al Jazeera in the Jordan - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Jazeera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazeera win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 23%, draw 29%, Al Jazeera 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazeera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ÜRD More Jordan - Premier League
19 Apr 2025
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