Bedford Town 2-1 Stratford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.97
Over
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.21/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.59
+39% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Stratford Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.09.2024 Stratford Town Stratford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Bedford Town Bedford Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
2-1
AWAY Stratford Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Stratford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town squeezed past Stratford Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bedford Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bedford Town had 50% of the ball to Stratford Town's 50%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stratford Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bedford Town and 1.67 for Stratford Town.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Stratford Town?

Bedford Town 2-1 Stratford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Stratford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 48%, draw 26%, Stratford Town 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bedford Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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