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Arsenal (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Lyon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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0-1
HT 0-1
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Lyon (K)
ŞMP-K
Arsenal (K) 1-2 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon (K) edged past Arsenal (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 58% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 42%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.12 to 1.01 — on chances, Arsenal (K) could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Lyon (K)?
Arsenal (K) 1-2 Lyon (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Lyon (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 33%, draw 16%, Lyon (K) 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.