Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 19 Apr 2025

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2-1 HT 1-0
Shabab Al Ahli
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UAE - League Cup – 2025/2026

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Shabab Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
2.1
Over
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
4.05
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
20%
2.9
6+
8%
8.76
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi v Shabab Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.79/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.32
+19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% / -62%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.0 Crosses 8.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Shabab Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 2.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
390 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-2 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
11.12.2022 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
07.01.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAESK
10.01.2020 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-2 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
31.08.2019 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
19.04.2014 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-2 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2-1
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
0.46 xG 1.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
198 Passes 359
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi squeezed past Shabab Al Ahli 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ahli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 39% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 61%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.46 to 1.72 — on chances, Shabab Al Ahli could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 2.17 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli in the UAE - League Cup on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 26%, draw 30%, Shabab Al Ahli 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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