Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mamelodi Sundowns v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
AFRFL
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
AFRFL
5-2
HT 3-1
Al Ahly
AŞL
2-2
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
AŞL
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Ahly
AŞL
0-1
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
AŞL
Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns and Al Ahly played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 73% of the ball to Al Ahly's 27%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.17 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.67 for Al Ahly.
What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly?
Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 Al Ahly in the CAF Champions League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 52%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.