Suwon Bluewings 3-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
02.10.2019 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOK
18.09.2019 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
3-1
AWAY Hwaseong
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
350 Passes 267
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings got the better of Hwaseong 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 54% of the ball to Hwaseong's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.50 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong?

Suwon Bluewings 3-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 56%, draw 23%, Hwaseong 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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