Orn Horten 6-2 Fredrikstad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No Pick
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.1pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.34/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/3.13
-87% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orn Horten
6-2
AWAY Fredrikstad II
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Fredrikstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orn Horten cruised past Fredrikstad II 6-2. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orn Horten as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orn Horten had 64% of the ball to Fredrikstad II's 36%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Fredrikstad II?

Orn Horten 6-2 Fredrikstad II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Fredrikstad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orn Horten win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 52%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad II 24%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orn Horten) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orn Horten) ✗ BTTS No
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