Chernomorets 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +5%
1.50/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.55
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-1D-2L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 6-1 HT 3-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
10.03.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-0 HT 2-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
20.08.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
27.06.2014 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk HAZ
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets nicked a narrow win over SKA Khabarovsk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chernomorets and 1.75 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Chernomorets 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 41%, draw 27%, SKA Khabarovsk 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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