BATE Borisov 1-2 ML Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
16%
3.94
Away Pick
63%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.75
Over
49%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.76
2-3
44%
1.7
4-5
14%
3.75
6+
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME BATE Borisov The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Vitebsk The Market 69%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
0.95 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.70
1.76 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.25
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
236 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 530 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ML Vitebsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2025 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk BLR
18.05.2025 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 2-1 HT 2-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-2
AWAY ML Vitebsk
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW BATE Borisov vs ML Vitebsk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

ML Vitebsk nicked a narrow win over BATE Borisov 2-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ML Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, ML Vitebsk saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 9-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for BATE Borisov against 1.00 for ML Vitebsk.

BATE Borisov vs ML Vitebsk Result & Final Score

BATE Borisov 1-2 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

BATE Borisov vs ML Vitebsk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 21%, draw 16%, ML Vitebsk 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Vitebsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ML Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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