Ekvador (K) 1-0 Peru (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONUK, 19 Apr 2026

Ekvador (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Peru (K)
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
CONUK – 2025/2026

Ekvador (K) vs Peru (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.28
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
74%
+2.5pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.6pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.0pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ekvador (K) v Peru (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -51%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ekvador (K) vs Peru (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvador (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Peru (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Ekvador (K) Ekvador (K) 1-0 Peru (K) Peru (K) HAZ
15.11.2022 Peru (K) Peru (K) 0-0 Ekvador (K) Ekvador (K) HAZ

Ekvador (K) 1-0 Peru (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador (K)
1-0
AWAY Peru (K)
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ekvador (K) vs Peru (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador (K) nicked a narrow win over Peru (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ekvador (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ekvador (K) had 70% of the ball to Peru (K)'s 30%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ekvador (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ekvador (K) and 0.00 for Peru (K).

What was the final score of Ekvador (K) vs Peru (K)?

Ekvador (K) 1-0 Peru (K) in the CONUK on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador (K) vs Peru (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Ekvador (K) 76%, draw 14%, Peru (K) 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvador (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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