Uruguay (K) 1-3 Şili (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONUK, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.8pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Şili (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.68 xG 2.09
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
146 Passes 307
58% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 20
3 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Şili (K) Şili (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) HAZ
09.10.2019 Şili (K) Şili (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) HAZ
06.10.2019 Şili (K) Şili (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) HAZ
11.04.2018 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) AKUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay (K)
1-3
AWAY Şili (K)
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uruguay (K) vs Şili (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili (K) got the better of Uruguay (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Şili (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uruguay (K) had 45% of the ball to Şili (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Şili (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uruguay (K) and 1.75 for Şili (K).

What was the final score of Uruguay (K) vs Şili (K)?

Uruguay (K) 1-3 Şili (K) in the CONUK on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay (K) vs Şili (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uruguay (K) 39%, draw 21%, Şili (K) 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şili (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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