Zacatecoluca 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
34%
-10.5pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacatecoluca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 40%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.18/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.23
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacatecoluca
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.02.2026 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-2 HT 1-1 Zacatecoluca ELSAL
06.11.2025 Zacatecoluca 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
05.09.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-1 Zacatecoluca ELSAL
POST-MATCH Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zacatecoluca squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (23% / 36% / 40%) promised a tight game; Zacatecoluca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zacatecoluca had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zacatecoluca and 1.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Zacatecoluca 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zacatecoluca 23%, draw 36%, Fuerte San Francisco 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✓ Under 2.5
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