Debrecen II 1-1 Tarpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarpa EU Bookmakers 27%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.36/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+39% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
POST-MATCH Debrecen II vs Tarpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen II and Tarpa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Debrecen II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Debrecen II vs Tarpa?

Debrecen II 1-1 Tarpa in the Hungary - NB III on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen II vs Tarpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Debrecen II 46%, draw 29%, Tarpa 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Debrecen II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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