Varnsdorf 1-0 Pribram — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pribram EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
2.18/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.08
+30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pribram
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Pribram Pribram 2-2 HT 1-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
31.03.2023 Pribram Pribram 1-2 HT 1-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
31.08.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-2 HT 0-1 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
13.03.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-0 HT 2-0 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
14.08.2021 Pribram Pribram 2-2 HT 1-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
11.01.2014 Pribram Pribram 2-2 HT 1-2 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
1-0
AWAY Pribram
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Pribram
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf squeezed past Pribram 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Varnsdorf as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 59% of the ball to Pribram's 41%, shots finished 22-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.50 for Pribram.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Pribram?

Varnsdorf 1-0 Pribram in the Czech Republic - FNL on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Pribram?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 45%, draw 25%, Pribram 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varnsdorf) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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