Sandvikens IF 3-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.53
X/2
9%
7.8
X/X
14%
5.08
2/1
4%
23.15
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
4%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.53 — our 22% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sandvikens IF vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandvikens IF got the better of Varbergs 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sandvikens IF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Sandvikens IF vs Varbergs?

Sandvikens IF 3-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandvikens IF vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandvikens IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sandvikens IF 48%, draw 26%, Varbergs 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandvikens IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandvikens IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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