Bergdalens 2-1 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.14
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-7.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 71%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.52/3.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.26
+40% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bergdalens
2-1
AWAY Astrio
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergdalens nicked a narrow win over Astrio 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Astrio at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

On the day, Bergdalens had 36% of the ball to Astrio's 64%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Astrio?

Bergdalens 2-1 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 18%, draw 22%, Astrio 60%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Astrio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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