Universidad Chile 1-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.4pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.40
-6% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.9 Crosses 13.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
4W-1D-1L
AWAY U. Catolica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 0.66
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
171 Passes 445
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 U. Catolica 1-3 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
29.06.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
30.04.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.10.2022 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
28.09.2022 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
25.09.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-2
AWAY U. Catolica
0.60 xG 0.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
359 Passes 224
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica edged past Universidad Chile 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 60% of the ball to U. Catolica's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universidad Chile and 0.67 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica?

Universidad Chile 1-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 47%, draw 23%, U. Catolica 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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