Lommel United 0-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Playoff, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.66
No
62%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 33% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.7
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
10%
5.64
X/2
9%
5.67
X/X
19%
4.55
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.73
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
56%
-18.3pp
62%
BTTS No
44%
+18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
0-1
AWAY Kortrijk
1.20 xG 2.06
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
555 Passes 209
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk nicked a narrow win over Lommel United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Kortrijk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Lommel United had 70% of the ball to Kortrijk's 30%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.20 to 2.06.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Kortrijk?

Lommel United 0-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Playoff on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 32%, draw 31%, Kortrijk 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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