Cavalry 2-2 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 May 2024

Cavalry
2-2 HT 1-0
York United
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Cavalry vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavalry v York United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.43
-1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.1 Crosses 11.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Cavalry vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-0D-2L
AWAY York United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
354 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 York United York United 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
21.08.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
25.06.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
29.05.2023 York United York United 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.08.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
20.07.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL

Cavalry 2-2 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2-2
AWAY York United
1.73 xG 0.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
304 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and York United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cavalry had 50% of the ball to York United's 50%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavalry and 0.67 for York United.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs York United?

Cavalry 2-2 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 50%, draw 26%, York United 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cavalry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ BTTS Yes
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