Shashemene Kenema 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shashemene Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shashemene Kenema
1-2
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shashemene Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna squeezed past Shashemene Kenema 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopia Bunna as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shashemene Kenema had 42% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 58%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Shashemene Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Shashemene Kenema 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shashemene Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shashemene Kenema 23%, draw 24%, Ethiopia Bunna 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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