Jaro 2-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.58
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-1D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-4 HT 0-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2
15.05.2022 Jaro Jaro 4-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
28.08.2021 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.06.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Jaro vs PK-35 ry
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jaro edged past PK-35 ry 2-1 in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19 May 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Jaro had 59% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 41%, shots finished 14-12.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jaro have the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Jaro and 0.75 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of Jaro vs PK-35 ry?

Jaro 2-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jaro 52%, draw 25%, PK-35 ry 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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