Gainare Tottori 0-3 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.28/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.10
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-3 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
03.09.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
25.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
28.11.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
22.09.2020 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
0-3
AWAY Sagamihara
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara ran out comfortable winners over Gainare Tottori 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 52% of the ball to Sagamihara's 48%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.67 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara?

Gainare Tottori 0-3 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 35%, draw 30%, Sagamihara 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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