Qatar SC 2-2 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+12.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -100%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 2.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
17.08.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-4 HT 2-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
28.04.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
11.01.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 5-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
23.01.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
26.11.2021 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
2-2
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.17 xG 2.02
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
253 Passes 498
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC and Al Gharafa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Gharafa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Qatar SC had 38% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 62%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.17 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qatar SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Qatar SC and 1.50 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Qatar SC 2-2 Al Gharafa in the KATEK on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 34%, draw 21%, Al Gharafa 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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