Rivers United 3-2 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rivers United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.97/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.31
+23% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rivers United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.10.2023 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
08.01.2022 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rivers United
3-2
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United nicked a narrow win over Niger Tornadoes 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rivers United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rivers United had 49% of the ball to Niger Tornadoes's 51%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Niger Tornadoes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Rivers United and 0.50 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Rivers United 3-2 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rivers United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rivers United 55%, draw 28%, Niger Tornadoes 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rivers United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rivers United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →