Nafta 0-2 Dravinja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dravinja EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.89/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.50
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dravinja
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.10.2023 Dravinja Dravinja 0-1 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
0-2
AWAY Dravinja
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Dravinja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dravinja saw off Nafta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nafta at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nafta had 63% of the ball to Dravinja's 37%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Dravinja?

Nafta 0-2 Dravinja in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Dravinja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nafta 48%, draw 23%, Dravinja 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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