Richmond Kickers 0-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 19 May 2024

Richmond Kickers
0-1 HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Richmond Kickers v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.34/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.54
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.8 Crosses 19.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
314 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.05.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
26.03.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.10.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.08.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
17.07.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-3 HT 0-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1

Richmond Kickers 0-1 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
0-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.69 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 Passes 282
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph nicked a narrow win over Richmond Kickers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Greenville Triumph found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 60% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 40%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.69 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.50 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Richmond Kickers 0-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 32%, draw 31%, Greenville Triumph 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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