19/05/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Project 51O vs Almaden Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
21%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
31%
45%
Under 2.5
38%
55%
Over 2.5
62%
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
49%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Project 51O v Almaden — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Project 51O
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Almaden
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
337 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Project 51O vs Almaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Project 51O edged past Almaden 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Project 51O as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Project 51O vs Almaden?
Project 51O 2-1 Almaden in the USA - USL League 2 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Project 51O vs Almaden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Project 51O win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Project 51O 49%, draw 21%, Almaden 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Project 51O), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Project 51O)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
19 May 2024