Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.2pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.51/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+56% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-1
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena and Shire Endaselassie shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 48% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 52%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 38%, draw 29%, Shire Endaselassie 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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