Racing Beirut 1-4 Shabab Al Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.74/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+31% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Beirut
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shabab Al Sahel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.02.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 0-1 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel LUBN
POST-MATCH Racing Beirut vs Shabab Al Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Sahel ran out comfortable winners over Racing Beirut 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Shabab Al Sahel made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Racing Beirut vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Racing Beirut 1-4 Shabab Al Sahel in the Lebanon - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Beirut vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Racing Beirut 33%, draw 29%, Shabab Al Sahel 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
19 May 2025
16:00 Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck Analysis →