Spokane Velocity 1-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 27%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.46/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.49
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.3 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
299 Passes 433
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-2 HT 0-1 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
17.03.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
1-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.35 xG 0.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
309 Passes 406
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity squeezed past Richmond Kickers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spokane Velocity as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 45% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 55%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 1.35 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spokane Velocity had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spokane Velocity and 0.50 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers?

Spokane Velocity 1-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 52%, draw 22%, Richmond Kickers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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