Breidablik 2-1 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.6pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.95/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.84
+10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.2 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.62 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
391 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
13.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
04.07.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
21.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
08.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
11.09.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
20.06.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-1
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.49 xG 1.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 6
401 Passes 225
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik squeezed past KA Akureyri 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 61% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 39%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.49 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs KA Akureyri?

Breidablik 2-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 52%, draw 24%, KA Akureyri 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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