Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 Jun 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
3-2 HT 1-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
📅19/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.38
1/2
7%
20.55
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
11%
8.39
X/2
13%
4.63
X/X
12%
5.98
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.37
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 55%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.18/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.82
+20% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
18.0 Crosses 23.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.08.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
03.08.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
06.07.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
06.04.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2.07 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 205
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 60% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 40%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.07 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yokohama F. Marinos's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 35%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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