Monastir 1-1 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
45%
2.2
2-3 Goals
31%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 45% vs market 38.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+5.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-5.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.83/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.50
+99% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +111%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN
17.03.2021 Monastir Monastir 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
25.02.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
23.02.2020 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-4 HT 0-3 Monastir Monastir TUN1
25.09.2019 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
31.01.2018 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monastir
1-1
AWAY Stade Tunisien
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monastir vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir and Stade Tunisien shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Monastir had 49% of the ball to Stade Tunisien's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monastir and 0.00 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of Monastir vs Stade Tunisien?

Monastir 1-1 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monastir 41%, draw 36%, Stade Tunisien 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monastir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monastir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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