AC Connecticut 1-2 Vermont Green — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.96
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+6.5pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.2pp
63%
Away Win
70%
-6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.1pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Connecticut EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.42/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.55
+11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +97%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Connecticut
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vermont Green
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
25.06.2023 Vermont Green Vermont Green 6-3 HT 3-1 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut USL2
POST-MATCH AC Connecticut vs Vermont Green
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vermont Green edged past AC Connecticut 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vermont Green as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AC Connecticut vs Vermont Green?

AC Connecticut 1-2 Vermont Green in the USA - USL League 2 on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Connecticut vs Vermont Green?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vermont Green win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split AC Connecticut 20%, draw 17%, Vermont Green 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vermont Green) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vermont Green) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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