Arlanda 0-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.50
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
6 Corners 10
10.09.2023 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
13.05.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 1-2 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
08.08.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-2 HT 1-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
31.07.2021 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 7-0 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
0-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK nicked a narrow win over Arlanda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Karlbergs BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Arlanda had 53% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 47%, shots finished 23-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arlanda and 3.25 for Karlbergs BK.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Karlbergs BK?

Arlanda 0-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 33%, draw 27%, Karlbergs BK 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlbergs BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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