Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag v FK Pardubice — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
5-2
HT 3-0
FK Pardubice
ÇEK
0-2
HT 0-2
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
5-2
HT 2-1
FK Pardubice
ÇEK
3-1
HT 0-0
FK Pardubice
ÇEK
2-4
HT 0-3
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
Sparta Prag 2-1 FK Pardubice — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Prag squeezed past FK Pardubice 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sparta Prag had 63% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 37%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.62 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sparta Prag's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.33 for FK Pardubice.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice?
Sparta Prag 2-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 59%, draw 22%, FK Pardubice 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.