IK Sirius 3-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.10/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.87
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
15.4 Crosses 22.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.05 xG 2.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
265 Passes 533
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-3 HT 1-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
01.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
07.08.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
23.07.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
30.10.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
10.07.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-0 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
3-4
AWAY Malmö FF
1.26 xG 2.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 10
262 Passes 423
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 48
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF squeezed past IK Sirius 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IK Sirius had 41% of the ball to Malmö FF's 59%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 1.26 to 2.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Sirius and 2.83 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Malmö FF?

IK Sirius 3-4 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 28%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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